Good Afternoon, we got another outside day on Monday which are always my favorite days to trade, & offer the greatest profit potential. So lets jump right in.
I didn't trade the first hour of crude because I knew we were gonna get nice volatility in the indexes so I only traded in the S&P and Nasdaq the whole first hour of crude. Not to mention the only real setups I would have had was a long right off the open, as we basically got an opening drive open up, & I would have been interested in a short in the 98.50 area because it was a nice lvn from the past week of trading, & it was basically the low from 7/22 & 7/25.
Trade 1: Long 97.11 (10:00)
Why: As I went over in the last post, opening drive opens (where the opening print is the low/high of the day up to that point) makes the open even more important, because its also going to function as the high/low of the day & IB high/low. I never really like to fade this kind of open unless the market PROVES to me that we are no longer 1 time framing in the direction of the opening drive, or we approach a major area to do business in the composite. So right after the # came out at 10 we retested the open at 97.11 which is where I got long. Again, if we were going to continue to move up, this is the area that we should have held. We moved back up like 30 ticks, I got 1 scale off, then was stopped flat when we broke through the open to the downside.
Trade 2: Short 97.09 (10:05)
Why: If we were gonna head back up, we should have held the open, & we didnt, so I took the short just under the open, I ended up eating 10 ticks on this trade, it went just high enough back above the open to headfake me....its the cost of business using this style.
Trade 3: Short 97.06 (10:12)
Why: Same reason as trade 2, when we dropped back under the open, I just wanted to see a 1 min candle hold under the open before I got back in, so entered short again right after that just under the open, looking for a test of prev days range.
Result: We made it down to test fridays high, got a tiny bounce, then dropped back into fridays range, I ended up closing the trade out at fridays low around 95, for lil over 2 bucks.
As a side note: If I was not already short, I would have got short as soon as dropped back into fridays range.
Trade 4: Long 94.98 (11:02)
Why: We held Fridays low on a 2nd retest, & I had just covered the rest of my short, so tried the long, w/ a stop under 94.86 (& would have flipped short if stopped). This was only a 1/2 size trade because of the context of the day (we were 350 ticks off the high of the day). I got 2 scaled & was stopped for +1 tick on the rest.
Trade 5: Short 94:84
Why: We broke under Fridays low.

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ReplyDeleteHey Ben thanks for the blog update!
ReplyDeleteI have a question about stops, Today (8-4-11) I took a short in CL $90.39 at 10:24. My basis for the trade was the break below the IB low and I had my stop at $90.54 just above the chop. I was stopped out quickly only to see it take off to the downside shortly after, and my stop ended up being .16 below the high from that point on. If I was playing a pure Price action trade my stop would have been at 90.86. Where would you have put your stop on this trade had you taken it exactly as I did?
here is a link to the annotated chart-
http://img560.imageshack.us/img560/6969/cltrade.jpg
Thanks
Matt
stuff like that is gonna happen almost every day using this kind of style...u just have to manage ur risk. What to happened to you on this trade is the exact same thing that happened to me on trade 2 of this post, I got headfaked, but then when the setup is there again you have to take it, just like in trade 3.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the reply Ben
ReplyDelete